Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.090512 0.104839 0.120491 0.138833 0.159709 0.182700 0.209910
2024-12-29 0.070809 0.090277 0.113429 0.142876 0.179203 0.222415 0.277565
2025-01-05 0.055732 0.077418 0.105222 0.143210 0.193451 0.257266 0.344052
2025-01-12 0.043506 0.065374 0.095395 0.139141 0.200681 0.283480 0.402474
2025-01-19 0.035172 0.056777 0.088331 0.137042 0.209420 0.311848 0.466296
2025-01-26 0.031163 0.053586 0.088158 0.144268 0.231654 0.360763 0.563508
2025-02-02 0.027763 0.050623 0.087675 0.150628 0.252947 0.410093 0.665993
2025-02-09 0.022976 0.044443 0.081025 0.146073 0.256340 0.432241 0.728983
2025-02-16 0.019668 0.040198 0.076846 0.144798 0.264499 0.462133 0.806334
2025-02-23 0.016594 0.035801 0.071676 0.140952 0.267583 0.483654 0.871545
2025-03-02 0.014175 0.032212 0.067391 0.137990 0.271614 0.506749 0.940956
2025-03-09 0.012707 0.030279 0.065927 0.139995 0.284639 0.546261 1.041650
2025-03-16 0.010765 0.027028 0.061470 0.135792 0.285918 0.565605 1.109615
2025-03-23 0.010041 0.026362 0.062219 0.142110 0.308143 0.625218 1.255911
2025-03-30 0.009007 0.024780 0.060778 0.143688 0.321110 0.668633 1.375859
2025-04-06 0.007753 0.022408 0.057227 0.140242 0.323377 0.691614 1.458832
2025-04-13 0.006787 0.020572 0.054602 0.138455 0.328836 0.721211 1.556948
2025-04-20 0.006479 0.020427 0.055965 0.145928 0.355026 0.794693 1.748014
2025-04-27 0.006137 0.020121 0.056884 0.152452 0.379752 0.867138 1.942461
2025-05-04 0.005293 0.018192 0.053404 0.147896 0.378874 0.885774 2.027354
2025-05-11 0.004705 0.016899 0.051369 0.146632 0.385428 0.920737 2.149097
2025-05-18 0.004088 0.015378 0.048472 0.142754 0.385298 0.940980 2.240743
2025-05-25 0.003584 0.014103 0.046046 0.139764 0.386949 0.965214 2.342779